讲座主题：On the Reproducibility Crisis in Science and Ways to Fix It
主讲人：Bob Reed教授（新西兰坎特伯雷大学）
讲座时间：12月08日（星期五）上午9:30—10:30
讲座地点：文泉楼北208会议室
主办单位：公共管理学院
讲座简介：
The last two decades have seen increasing doubt about the credibility of empirical research in science. This has come to be known as the “Reproducibility Crisis,” with the name derived from the fact that many reported empirical findings cannot be reproduced. This presentation uses the framework of Ioannidis (2005) to explain why many researchers believe there is a “reproducibility crisis” in science. It then goes on to use that framework to evaluate various proposals to fix the problem. Of particular interest is the “post-study probability”, the probability that a reported research finding represents a true relationship. This probability is inherently unknowable. However, a number of insightful results emerge if we are willing to make some conjectures about reasonable parameter values.
Reference: Ioannidis, J.P. (2005). Why most published research findings are false. PloS Medicine, 2(8): 1418-1422.
